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They will not be going away
The Tea Party movement moves on. We who attend its
gatherings can attest to its spontaneity and ultimate political influence.
To the chagrin of clueless liberals and an inbred media, its impact may
help change the course of the nation.
It is not a Republican effort, although the GOP will benefit from it and
has already in Virginia, New Jersey and even Massachusetts. It will not
benefit Democrats except in constituencies where it may find a
Republican candidate unacceptable and split the vote.
This will damage RINOs, not real conservatives. There is a temporary
alliance between Tea Party independents and GOP candidates who reflect
their views that will cause the nomination of more conservatives. How well
they govern and how far they will actually succeed in changing the
direction of the country will be the ultimate determination of the
movement's success.
One impact observed throughout Arizona and elsewhere is the appearance of
many new faces in the ranks of GOP candidates, along with many new
activists. Most are of a high quality, higher than prior cycles. The local
GOP is filling more precinct committee slots than they have in years, and
they aren't coming from the League of Women Voters. When was the last time
you saw over 500 people at a candidate forum for anything in February, let
alone October?
Democrats have been living off Astroturf and a tone-deaf, lame stream
media for so long they project onto anything real the techniques they've
grown comfortable with, from phony letter drives to pathetic talk radio
screamers like Ed Schultz who actually advocated voter fraud in
Massachusetts to "preserve health care reform." Discussion of
issues with most liberals quickly degenerates to them using name-calling
and challenging the motives of those who disagree. Which leads me to ask,
"how's that working out for ya?"
Some Tea Party leaders are still rightfully wary of the GOP, which has
gone wobbly before. Their inclusion in its ranks will go far to increasing
its backbone, but Tea Parties have others attempting to use them.
One local example was the sucking in of local Tea Party leaders by a
prominent businessman who solicited their support in a recall effort of
the Tucson mayor and two council members he began, and then unilaterally
abandoned. That cost them credibility which would have been partially
maintained had they at least denounced his basically perfidious actions.
First rule of leadership is not to hang your followers out to dry.
Another threat is groups with superficially similar methods but based in a
different epistemology. One of those is called Get Out of Our House, or
GOOOH. It sets up local groups, charges fees, has a ranking system for
members who are supposed to pick, apparently among those in each district,
issues to rank candidates. Their initial issue list had a left-populist
tilt including elimination of the electoral college, reducing inherited
wealth, banning lawyers from public office and other unconstitutional
eccentricities. My KVOI colleague Charles Heller considers them
communitarian socialist.
Threats from GOOOH and others along with the GOP will be overshadowed by
the basic good sense of the Tea Party goers themselves. They are not
pitchfork populists. They are mainly constitutionalists. The greatest
factor contributing to the movement besides the arrogance of the liberal
establishment is that they reflect the ideas that have dominated the
bestseller lists for several years, contained in a host of conservative
books ignored by a snot-impacted elite.
Like their intellectual forefathers, this group of revolutionaries are
literate and understand what they want their government to be. They will
not be hustled easily. And they will not be going away.